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Saturday, October 17, 2026
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The Venezuelan Crisis May Now Define Trump's Legacy - and America's Place in the World

Following executing a evening of overwhelming force in Venezuela, Donald Trump seems to be getting into the nation-building arena.

In a notable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago resort on Saturday morning, the president declared that US forces had successfully captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an overnight raid in Caracas.

Trump then said that a group featuring Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, collaborating with Venezuelans, would be taking control of the beleaguered nation.

"We are going to run the country until such time as we can do a safe, orderly and judicious transition," he said.

What exactly "governing the state" involves is ambiguous, but the pledge signifies an abrupt change of course for the president, laden with contradictions and formidable obstacles.

A leader who ran on opposing "endless conflicts", who vehemently denounced past US efforts at overthrowing governments and who vowed to implement an "America first" foreign policy is now betting his presidency on successfully rebuilding a South American nation whose economy is in ruins and whose political stability has been undermined by years of authoritarian rule.

Yet, Trump was persistently confident.

He stated his administration has a "unblemished record of winning" – and that this would be no different. He pledged to enlist American oil firms to repair Venezuela's deteriorating production infrastructure, supplying capital for the American reconstruction efforts and aiding the Venezuelan people.

He left open the possibility of deploying American soldiers to Venezuela to further these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he told reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US invasion of Iraq, will now have to heed the words of one of the American planners of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you shatter it, you are responsible for it."

A Shift in Foreign Policy

The US has redefined Venezuela's future – whether for good or ill.

Trump came to power nearly a year ago pledging to be a peacemaker, but over the past year he has demonstrated that he is more than willing to use armed force internationally.

In the past week, he authorized air strikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he struck atomic sites in Iran, alleged narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, armed groups in Somalia and Islamic militants in Iraq.

Unlike past actions, which have largely involved rockets and warplanes that reduce the exposure of American forces to harm, Trump's Venezuela strike – and his commitments to the fate of that nation – are markedly different.

His aim, he said during his press conference, is to "make Venezuela great again."

Domestic and International Reaction

That variation of Trump's "MAGA" – or Maga - mantra could be hard for some of Trump's supporters to swallow.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump ally who split from the president after charging him of abandoning his political base, was quick to condemn the president's actions on social media.

"Public outrage with our own government's never ending military aggression and backing for foreign wars is understandable because we are compelled to finance it," she wrote. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. How mistaken we were."

Another prominent Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, compared the official rationale for Maduro's arrest – on weapons and cocaine trafficking charges – with Trump's explanation that the operation was to reclaim seized US oil and halt fentanyl production.

Most Republican lawmakers supported the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson characterizing the armed intervention against a "criminal regime" as "decisive and legitimate".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his press conference, the president said the Venezuelan operation furthered his "America First" agenda because it guaranteed US hemispheric security and provided a reliable source of oil.

He resurrected the Monroe Doctrine – an early 19th Century American foreign policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and rebranded it the "Donroe Doctrine."

The action in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US supremacy in the Western Hemisphere will never be challenged again."

The goal of the new US national security strategy, he said, was to "protect trade, land and resources that are fundamental to our national security." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "sphere of influence."

Trump's choice to capture Maduro will raise broader concerns in global politics, however, and impact American relations with the world's other significant global powers.

The Chinese government issued a statement voicing shock and denouncing what it said was a irresponsible attack on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered similar condemnations of Russia after its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is attempting to mediate a peace deal between those two nations – one that has frequently seemed to be more favourable to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, expressed worry about the precedent Trump's actions might send.

"My main worry is now Russia will use this to justify their illegal and brutal military actions against Ukraine, or China to rationalize an attack of Taiwan."

Political Criticism and Constitutional Questions

Trump's Democratic critics were blunter.

"The United States should not be administering other countries for any purpose," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have understood by now not to get entangled in perpetual conflicts and regime change missions that carry catastrophic consequences for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker said Maduro is a lawbreaker and a autocrat with a record of rights violations. But he condemned Trump's choice not to inform legislative leaders before launching the attack.

"Donald Trump has the legal duty to follow the law and uphold institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what putting America First demands."

Trump, in his press conference, said that he chose not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" details of the operation prior to the attack.

An Uncertain Future

That military operation was a success – with no American casualties and limited harm to US assets. Trump, with his characteristic confidence, portrayed the operation as a "spectacular assault" and "one of the most stunning, effective and impressive displays of American military might and proficiency in US history."

Now he is gambling his presidency on that victory continuing, as the US says it will take over administering and reconstructing Venezuela - though what that actually means remains unclear. He and his team must strengthen a nation that has been in chaos for decades while stabilising a region that is bound to be apprehensive of what Trump's foreign policy has planned for them.

About the author

Kerry Murphy

A professional poker player and analyst with over a decade of experience in tournament strategy and game theory optimization.

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